· Analysis updated 00:25 UTC
Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Levski Sofia II and 1.47 for Natsional Sofia, a combined total of 3.44. That distribution gives Levski Sofia II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.
Model pick
Levski Sofia II to Win
49.6% probability
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.47
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Levski Sofia II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.98 goals for Levski Sofia II and 1.47 for Natsional Sofia, a combined 3.44 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Levski Sofia II to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Levski Sofia II
Natsional Sofia
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third League - Southwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Septemvri Simitli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Septemvri Sofia II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bansko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Strumska Slava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belasitsa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Levski Sofia II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kostinbrod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Slavia Sofia II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Kyustendil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Oborishte | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | CSKA Sofia III | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Natsional Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Slivnishki geroy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Balkan Botevgrad | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.