Lund vs Angelholms FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.89 expected goals for Lund and 1.18 for Angelholms FF, a combined total of 3.06. That distribution gives Lund the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Lund to Win

53.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.89 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Lund win54%

Draw22%

Angelholms FF win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–110.4%
2–19.8%
1–08.8%
2–08.3%
3–16.2%

Why the model likes this

Angelholms FF away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lund to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 22% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.89 goals for Lund and 1.18 for Angelholms FF, a combined 3.06 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Lund

Angelholms FF

2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Trollhättan · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kristianstad · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Trollhättan · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Astrio · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ettan - Södra table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	16	10	6	0	22	36
2	Hässleholms IF	17	9	3	5	12	30
3	AFC Malmo	17	8	5	4	11	29
4	Atvidabergs FF	16	8	5	3	11	29
5	Lund	17	7	7	3	7	28
6	Rosengård	16	7	5	4	6	26
7	Tvååker	17	7	4	6	-2	25
8	Olympic	17	7	2	8	-2	23
9	Jonkopings Sodra	17	6	4	7	5	22
10	Eskilsminne	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Trollhättan	17	4	7	6	-7	19
12	Angelholms FF	17	3	8	6	-2	17
13	Laholm	17	5	2	10	-8	17
14	Kristianstad	17	4	5	8	-8	17
15	Skövde AIK	16	3	8	5	-11	17
16	Utsikten	16	1	2	13	-31	5

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.