Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · Regular Season - 2106:30

11

Saturday, 27 June 2026

· Analysis updated 02:27 UTC

Macarthur Rams vs Hakoah Sydney City Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Macarthur Rams and 1.28 for Hakoah Sydney City, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives Macarthur Rams the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Macarthur Rams or Draw

67.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Macarthur Rams win42%
Draw25%
Hakoah Sydney City win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Macarthur Rams home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Macarthur Rams to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 25% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Macarthur Rams and 1.28 for Hakoah Sydney City, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Macarthur Rams

  • 2026-08-15T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Blacktown Spartans · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Dulwich Hill · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulls Academy · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Hurstville FC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Prospect United · 2-1 (W)

Hakoah Sydney City

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    New South Wales NPL 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Blacktown Spartans2820533965
    2Northern Tigers2815852153
    3Bankstown City Lions281558950
    4Macarthur Rams281468648
    5Canterbury Bankstown2813691445
    6Hills Brumbies281279743
    7Hakoah Sydney City2810991139
    8Rydalmere Lions2810810-238
    9Bulls Academy2811413537
    10Hurstville FC279612-533
    11Inter Lions289514-1632
    12Dulwich Hill287912-1530
    13Newcastle Jets II2861012-1128
    14Central Coast II277713-1228
    15Prospect United2831411-1823
    16Mt Druitt Town285518-3320

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.