· Analysis updated 03:30 UTC
Middelfart vs Thisted FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.98 expected goals for Middelfart and 0.89 for Thisted FC, a combined total of 3.87. That distribution gives Middelfart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws roughly 21% of the time.
Model pick
Middelfart to Win
79.2% probability
Expected goals
2.98 – 0.89
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
21%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.2%
- 3–09.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 3–18.2%
- 4–06.8%
Why the model likes this
Middelfart home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Thisted FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Middelfart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 13% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.98 goals for Middelfart and 0.89 for Thisted FC, a combined 3.87 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Middelfart
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Roskilde · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bredballe · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Thisted FC · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Næsby · 1-0 (W)
Thisted FC
- 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Aabybro · 9-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Middelfart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | Nykobing FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Roskilde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Naestved | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Fremad Amager | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | HIK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Skive | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | FA 2000 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | B 93 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Brabrand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.