Hungary · NB III - Southeast · Southeast - 215:30
Monori SeWLDL

23

Wednesday, 12 August 2026

DabasWWL

· Analysis updated 01:49 UTC

Monori Se vs Dabas Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.06 expected goals for Monori Se and 1.69 for Dabas, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Monori Se the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Monori Se to Win

46.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.06 – 1.69

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Monori Se win47%
Draw21%
Dabas win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 3–15.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Monori Se home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Monori Se to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 21% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.06 goals for Monori Se and 1.69 for Dabas, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Monori Se

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szegedi VSE · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dabas · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csepel · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs ESMTK · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Budapest Honved · 0-6 (L)

Dabas

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    NB III - Southeast table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Gyulai Termál44001412
    2III. Kerületi TUE44001012
    3Szeged-Csanád II330059
    4Szolnoki MAV FC321057
    5Dabas3201-16
    6Csepel4121-15
    7Újpest II311154
    8ESMTK311104
    9Monori Se4112-14
    10Sándorfalva4103-123
    11Vasas II202002
    12Bekescsaba 19124022-42
    13Hódmezővásárhely4022-62
    14Honvéd II2011-11
    15Szegedi VSE4013-31
    16BKV Előre3003-100

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.