· Analysis updated 02:27 UTC
Muri-Gümligen vs Langenthal Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.29 expected goals for Muri-Gümligen and 0.91 for Langenthal, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives Muri-Gümligen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Muri-Gümligen to Win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.29 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.2%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–09.2%
Why the model likes this
Langenthal away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Muri-Gümligen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 28% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.29 goals for Muri-Gümligen and 0.91 for Langenthal, a combined 2.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 38% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Recent form
Muri-Gümligen
Langenthal
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Aesch · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Thun II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-06-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs YF Juventus · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-06-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs YF Juventus · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tuggen · 5-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concordia Basel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Solothurn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Delémont | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Wohlen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Muri-Gümligen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Grasshopper II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Buochs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Muttenz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Black Stars | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Langenthal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Courtételle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Thun II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Schötz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Bassecourt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Münsingen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Zug | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.