· Analysis updated 02:52 UTC
Necaxa U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Necaxa U21 and 1.87 for Cruz Azul U21, a combined total of 3.04. That distribution gives Cruz Azul U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Cruz Azul U21 to Win
53.5% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.87
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–28.3%
- 2–16.2%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cruz Azul U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 24% / 23% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Necaxa U21 and 1.87 for Cruz Azul U21, a combined 3.04 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Cruz Azul U21 to Win is the headline pick at 54% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Necaxa U21
Cruz Azul U21
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga MX U21 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Monterrey U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Santos Laguna U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Club America U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Puebla U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Leon U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlas U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Juarez U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Queretaro U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Pachuca U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Necaxa U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Atlante U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.