Stadion Neman · Analysis updated 23:45 UTC
Neman vs Slavia Mozyr Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.29 expected goals for Neman and 0.91 for Slavia Mozyr, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives Neman the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Neman to Win
45.2% probability
Expected goals
1.29 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.2%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.0%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–09.2%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Neman to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 28% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.29 goals for Neman and 0.91 for Slavia Mozyr, a combined 2.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 38% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
Neman to Win is the headline pick at 45% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Neman
Slavia Mozyr
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Neman | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Arsenal | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -9 | 21 |
| 12 | Baranovichi | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 | Belshina | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -17 | 12 |
| 15 | Bate Borisov | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 | Naftan | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.