NWS Spirit U20 vs Blacktown City U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.93 expected goals for NWS Spirit U20 and 1.60 for Blacktown City U20, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives NWS Spirit U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.

Model pick

NWS Spirit U20 to Win

64.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.93 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

NWS Spirit U20 win65%

Draw16%

Blacktown City U20 win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals83%

Over 3.5 goals66%

Both teams to score75%

Correct score

2–17.4%
3–17.2%
2–25.9%
3–25.8%
4–15.3%

Why the model likes this

NWS Spirit U20 home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates NWS Spirit U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 16% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.93 goals for NWS Spirit U20 and 1.60 for Blacktown City U20, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 75%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Recent form

NWS Spirit U20

2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Manly Utd U20 · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-08T09:45:00.000Z · H vs Blacktown City U20 · 3-3 (D)
2026-08-02T06:30:00.000Z · A vs Sydney Utd U20 · 2-4 (L)
2026-07-25T09:45:00.000Z · H vs WS Wanderers U20 · 4-3 (W)
2026-07-18T09:15:00.000Z · A vs UNSW U20 · 2-3 (L)

Blacktown City U20

Head-to-head

2026-08-08T09:45:00.000Z · NWS Spirit U20 3-3 Blacktown City U20 (Npl Nsw U20)
2026-04-26T03:00:00.000Z · NWS Spirit U20 3-1 Blacktown City U20 (Npl Nsw U20)

Npl Nsw U20 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	APIA Leichhardt U20	28	22	3	3	43	69
2	Sydney Utd U20	28	18	6	4	50	60
3	Manly Utd U20	28	15	4	9	24	49
4	NWS Spirit U20	28	15	4	9	14	49
5	Marconi S. U20	27	14	6	7	23	48
6	Sydney FC U20	28	12	9	7	14	45
7	SD Raiders U20	28	12	5	11	-1	41
8	Sutherland Sharks U20	27	12	4	11	10	40
9	Wollongong Wolves U20	27	10	8	9	-3	38
10	Blacktown City U20	27	11	4	12	-13	37
11	WS Wanderers U20	28	11	2	15	-8	35
12	UNSW U20	27	9	6	12	-18	33
13	St. George City U20	28	8	6	14	-9	30
14	Rockdale Ilinden U20	27	8	5	14	-23	29
15	St George Saints U20	28	3	6	19	-38	15
16	Sydney Olympic U20	28	0	4	24	-65	4

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.