· Analysis updated 02:43 UTC
OH Leuven vs Lille Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for OH Leuven and 1.52 for Lille, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives OH Leuven the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
OH Leuven to Win
51.5% probability
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.52
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.9%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.4%
- 3–16.3%
Why the model likes this
Lille away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates OH Leuven to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.13 goals for OH Leuven and 1.52 for Lille, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 69%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
OH Leuven
Lille
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Everton · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven · 6-3 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.