Raatin stadion · Analysis updated 00:48 UTC
OLS vs KPV-j Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for OLS and 0.91 for KPV-j, a combined total of 4.41. That distribution gives OLS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws roughly 16% of the time.
Model pick
OLS to Win
84.5% probability
Expected goals
3.50 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–08.7%
- 3–17.9%
- 4–07.6%
- 2–07.4%
- 4–16.9%
Why the model likes this
OLS home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates OLS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 85%, against 85% / 10% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.50 goals for OLS and 0.91 for KPV-j, a combined 4.41 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 58%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
OLS
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rops · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC jazz · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs TPV · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KPV-j · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PKKU · 1-1 (D)
KPV-j
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkönen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere United | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 41 |
| 2 | Rops | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 |
| 3 | OLS | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | PKKU | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | SalPa | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | VJS | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | FC jazz | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | JJK | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | TPV | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | Inter Turku II | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -15 | 20 |
| 11 | KPV-j | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -40 | 12 |
| 12 | KuPS Akatemia | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -14 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.