Paide vs Rapid Vienna Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Paide and 2.50 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives Rapid Vienna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

Rapid Vienna to Win

56.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.63 – 2.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Paide win24%

Draw19%

Rapid Vienna win57%

Double chance 1X

43%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals78%

Over 3.5 goals59%

Both teams to score74%

Correct score

1–28.2%
1–36.8%
2–26.7%
1–16.6%
2–35.6%

Why the model likes this

Rapid Vienna away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rapid Vienna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 24% / 19% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Paide and 2.50 for Rapid Vienna, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 74%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Paide

Rapid Vienna

2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Paide · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Paide · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SCR Altach · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-29T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Santa Coloma · 6-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.