Para Hills Knights vs FK Beograd Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Para Hills Knights and 2.27 for FK Beograd, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives FK Beograd the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.

Model pick

FK Beograd to Win

67.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.95 – 2.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Para Hills Knights win14%

Draw19%

FK Beograd win67%

Double chance 1X

33%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

86%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

0–210.3%
1–29.8%
0–19.0%
1–18.6%
0–37.8%

Why the model likes this

FK Beograd away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Beograd to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 14% / 19% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for Para Hills Knights and 2.27 for FK Beograd, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 55%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Para Hills Knights

FK Beograd

2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Adelaide City · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-07T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Campbelltown City · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Croydon Kings · 4-3 (W)
2026-07-25T05:30:00.000Z · A vs Adelaide Comets · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-19T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Adelaide United II · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.