· Analysis updated 04:37 UTC
Racing Santander II vs Basconia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Racing Santander II and 1.40 for Basconia, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Racing Santander II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.
Model pick
Racing Santander II or Draw
62.7% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.3%
Why the model likes this
Racing Santander II home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Basconia away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Racing Santander II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 25% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Racing Santander II and 1.40 for Basconia, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 2.45 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.35 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 2.45 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.67 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.95 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.50 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.22 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.50 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Racing Santander II
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Basconia · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-08T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Real Avilés · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sarriana · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-04-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Ávila · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-04-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Coruxo · 1-3 (L)
Basconia
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Santander II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-08T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Gimnástica Torrelavega · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Ejea · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-04-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gernika · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sestao River · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.