Real Sociedad vs Espanyol Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Real Sociedad and 1.24 for Espanyol, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Real Sociedad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Real Sociedad to Win

51.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.24

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Real Sociedad win51%

Draw23%

Espanyol win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–110.6%
2–19.6%
1–08.5%
2–07.7%
1–26.6%

Why the model likes this

Real Sociedad home form
1 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Espanyol away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Real Sociedad to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.82 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.24 for Espanyol, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Real Sociedad

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Chelsea · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-08T13:30:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Köln · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Toulouse · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Aston Villa · 4-2 (W)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolves · 2-1 (W)

Espanyol

2026-08-08T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Coventry · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Middlesbrough · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-29T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Burnley · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sabadell · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs PAU · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

La Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Alaves	1	1	0	3	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	1	3
3	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0
4	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0
5	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0
6	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0
7	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0
8	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0
9	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0
10	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0
11	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0
12	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0
13	Elche	0	0	0	0	0
14	Levante	0	0	0	0	0
15	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0
16	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0
17	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0
18	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0
19	Rayo Vallecano	1	0	1	-1	0
20	Getafe	1	0	1	-3	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.