Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 2523:00
RemoDLWLW

23:00 UTC

Monday, 31 August 2026

CoritibaWLDLL

Estadio Evandro Almeida · Analysis updated 04:25 UTC

Remo vs Coritiba Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Remo and 1.39 for Coritiba, a combined total of 2.76. That distribution gives Coritiba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Coritiba or Draw

63.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.39

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Remo win37%
Draw26%
Coritiba win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Coritiba away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Coritiba to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 37% / 26% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.37 goals for Remo and 1.39 for Coritiba, a combined 2.76 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Remo

    Coritiba

    • 2026-08-08T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Chapecoense-sc · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-31T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Cruzeiro · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-26T21:30:00.000Z · A vs RB Bragantino · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-22T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Palmeiras · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-30T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo · 0-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Palmeiras2314632148
    2Flamengo2112632142
    3Atletico Paranaense2312561141
    4Fluminense231085638
    5Cruzeiro22967-133
    6Bahia22895433
    7RB Bragantino22958432
    8Corinthians22886432
    9Botafogo21867230
    10Coritiba22868-230
    11Atletico-MG21858029
    12Sao Paulo21759126
    13Vitoria227510-1126
    14Gremio21678-325
    15Mirassol216510-623
    16Internacional22589-423
    17Santos21579-622
    18Vasco DA Gama21579-822
    19Remo225710-1022
    20Chapecoense-sc211713-2310

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.