Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie · Analysis updated 23:57 UTC
Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.04 expected goals for Resovia Rzeszów and 1.45 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, a combined total of 2.49. That distribution gives Sandecja Nowy Sącz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Sandecja Nowy Sącz to Win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–08.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sandecja Nowy Sącz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 27% / 26% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.04 goals for Resovia Rzeszów and 1.45 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, a combined 2.49 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 45% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
Sandecja Nowy Sącz to Win is the headline pick at 46% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Resovia Rzeszów
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
II Liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Świdnik | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Znicz Pruszków | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Hutnik Kraków | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Sokół Kleczew | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Legia Warszawa II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Resovia Rzeszów | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.