Robina City vs Holland Park Hawks Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Robina City and 1.37 for Holland Park Hawks, a combined total of 3.67. That distribution gives Robina City the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Robina City to Win

58.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.30 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Robina City win58%

Draw20%

Holland Park Hawks win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

2–19.2%
1–18.0%
3–17.1%
2–06.8%
2–26.3%

Why the model likes this

Robina City home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Robina City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 20% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.30 goals for Robina City and 1.37 for Holland Park Hawks, a combined 3.67 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 67%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Robina City

2026-08-15T06:15:00.000Z · A vs Capalaba · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-09T06:00:00.000Z · A vs North Star · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-01T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Holland Park Hawks · 3-6 (L)
2026-07-19T04:30:00.000Z · H vs Redlands United · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-11T06:30:00.000Z · A vs St George Willawong · 2-0 (W)

Holland Park Hawks

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Queensland Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brisbane Strikers	22	17	3	2	34	54
2	Broadbeach United	22	16	4	2	31	52
3	SC Wanderers	22	10	7	5	18	37
4	Ipswich	22	10	5	7	5	35
5	Robina City	22	9	5	8	7	32
6	Caboolture	22	9	4	9	7	31
7	Redlands United	22	8	6	8	2	30
8	Holland Park Hawks	22	9	3	10	-8	30
9	Logan Lightning	22	8	3	11	-2	27
10	North Star	22	6	3	13	-19	21
11	St George Willawong	22	4	1	17	-39	13
12	Capalaba	22	3	2	17	-36	11

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.