Australia · Npl Nsw U20 · Regular Season - 2803:00

03:00 UTC

Sunday, 16 August 2026

· Analysis updated 03:00 UTC

Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs Wollongong Wolves U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Rockdale Ilinden U20 and 1.84 for Wollongong Wolves U20, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Wollongong Wolves U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Wollongong Wolves U20 or Draw

67.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.84

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rockdale Ilinden U20 win33%
Draw22%
Wollongong Wolves U20 win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.6%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wollongong Wolves U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 33% / 22% / 45% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.56 goals for Rockdale Ilinden U20 and 1.84 for Wollongong Wolves U20, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

  • Model confidence

    Wollongong Wolves U20 or Draw is the headline pick at 67% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Rockdale Ilinden U20

    Wollongong Wolves U20

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Npl Nsw U20 table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1APIA Leichhardt U202822334369
      2Sydney Utd U202818645060
      3Manly Utd U202815492449
      4NWS Spirit U202815491449
      5Marconi S. U202714672348
      6Sydney FC U202812971445
      7SD Raiders U202812511-141
      8Sutherland Sharks U2027124111040
      9Wollongong Wolves U20271089-338
      10Blacktown City U202711412-1337
      11WS Wanderers U202811215-835
      12UNSW U20279612-1833
      13St. George City U20288614-930
      14Rockdale Ilinden U20278514-2329
      15St George Saints U20283619-3815
      16Sydney Olympic U20280424-654

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.