Sabah FA vs Aarhus Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Sabah FA and 2.23 for Aarhus, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Aarhus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Aarhus to Win

53.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.52 – 2.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sabah FA win26%

Draw20%

Aarhus win54%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–28.9%
1–18.0%
2–26.8%
1–36.6%
2–16.1%

Why the model likes this

Sabah FA home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Aarhus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 26% / 20% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Sabah FA and 2.23 for Aarhus, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Sabah FA

2026-08-15T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Kapaz · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-05T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KuPS · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs KuPS · 1-0 (W)

Aarhus

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.