San Marcos vs Walter Ferretti Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for San Marcos and 1.85 for Walter Ferretti, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives Walter Ferretti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Walter Ferretti to Win

49.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

San Marcos win28%

Draw23%

Walter Ferretti win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–110.2%
1–29.5%
0–17.7%
0–27.2%
2–16.8%

Why the model likes this

San Marcos home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Walter Ferretti away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Walter Ferretti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 28% / 23% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.32 goals for San Marcos and 1.85 for Walter Ferretti, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

San Marcos

2026-08-09T23:00:00.000Z · H vs UNAN Managua · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-01T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Managua · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-25T21:00:00.000Z · A vs H&H Export · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-18T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Diriangén · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-02T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Llacuabamba · 0-3 (L)

Walter Ferretti

2026-08-08T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Estelí · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Matagalpa · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-24T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Diriangén · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-18T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Jalapa · 0-1 (L)
2026-04-29T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Jalapa · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.