· Analysis updated 03:00 UTC
Servette FC vs FC ST. Gallen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Servette FC and 1.69 for FC ST. Gallen, a combined total of 3.36. That distribution gives FC ST. Gallen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.
Model pick
FC ST. Gallen or Draw
61.7% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.69
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–15.8%
Why the model likes this
FC ST. Gallen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC ST. Gallen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 38% / 23% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Servette FC and 1.69 for FC ST. Gallen, a combined 3.36 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Servette FC
FC ST. Gallen
- 2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sheriff Tiraspol · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Luzern · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheriff Tiraspol · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Vaduz · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Benfica · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Basel 1893 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Servette FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Luzern | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.