Shkendija vs Hibernian Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Shkendija and 1.38 for Hibernian, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Shkendija the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Shkendija to Win

49.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Shkendija win49%

Draw23%

Hibernian win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

1–110.0%
2–19.4%
1–07.3%
1–26.9%
2–06.8%

Why the model likes this

Hibernian away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Shkendija to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 23% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Shkendija and 1.38 for Hibernian, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Shkendija

Hibernian

2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rangers · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Shkendija · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Motherwell · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.