Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 308:15

08:15 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

· Analysis updated 04:54 UTC

Slavoj Český Krumlov vs Milevsko Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Slavoj Český Krumlov and 3.00 for Milevsko, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives Milevsko the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws roughly 32% of the time.

Model pick

Milevsko to Win

67.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 3.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Slavoj Český Krumlov win17%
Draw16%
Milevsko win68%

Double chance 1X

32%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

83%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 1–27.5%
  • 1–37.5%
  • 1–45.6%
  • 2–25.6%
  • 2–35.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Milevsko to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 17% / 16% / 68% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Slavoj Český Krumlov and 3.00 for Milevsko, a combined 4.50 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 74%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

  • Model confidence

    Milevsko to Win is the headline pick at 68% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Slavoj Český Krumlov

    Milevsko

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.