England · National League - South · National League South - 714:00

14:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Arbour Park · Analysis updated 02:47 UTC

Slough Town vs Braintree Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Slough Town and 1.86 for Braintree, a combined total of 4.31. That distribution gives Slough Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Slough Town to Win

51.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.45 – 1.86

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Slough Town win51%
Draw19%
Braintree win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 1–16.1%
  • 3–25.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Braintree away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slough Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 19% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.45 goals for Slough Town and 1.86 for Braintree, a combined 4.31 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 80% and both teams to score at 77%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Slough Town

    Braintree

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chesham United · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tonbridge Angels · 0-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Aldershot Town · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Colchester United U21 · 4-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.