World · UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round18:15

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Tuesday, 11 August 2026

Tehelne Pole Stadion · Referee M. Oliver · Analysis updated 23:49 UTC

Slovan Bratislava vs Mjallby AIF Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava and 1.07 for Mjallby AIF, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Mjallby AIF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.

Model pick

Mjallby AIF or Draw

66.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Slovan Bratislava win34%
Draw30%
Mjallby AIF win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–113.2%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 1–27.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Mjallby AIF away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mjallby AIF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 34% / 30% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.02 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 1.07 for Mjallby AIF, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 42%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Slovan Bratislava

    Mjallby AIF

    • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sirius · 4-3 (W)
    • 2026-08-11T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs IF Elfsborg · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 0-0 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.