· Analysis updated 04:21 UTC
Smedby vs Haninge Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.26 expected goals for Smedby and 1.67 for Haninge, a combined total of 3.93. That distribution gives Smedby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Smedby to Win
51.2% probability
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.0%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–26.2%
Why the model likes this
Haninge away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Smedby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 20% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.26 goals for Smedby and 1.67 for Haninge, a combined 3.93 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 73%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Smedby
Haninge
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlslund · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fittja · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arlanda · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleipner · 6-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Södra Svealand table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forward | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Nyköping | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Haninge | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Sleipner | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Farsta | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30 |
| 6 | Smedby | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 30 |
| 7 | Rågsved | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Fittja | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Örebro Syrianska | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Lindo FF | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Karlslund | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 12 | Syrianska FC | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 15 |
| 13 | Eker Örebro | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -27 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacka Iliria | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -16 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.