NV Arena · Analysis updated 04:41 UTC
St. Pölten W vs Südburgenland W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for St. Pölten W and 0.99 for Südburgenland W, a combined total of 2.64. That distribution gives St. Pölten W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
St. Pölten W to Win
52.9% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.8%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.2%
Why the model likes this
St. Pölten W home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates St. Pölten W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 25% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for St. Pölten W and 0.99 for Südburgenland W, a combined 2.64 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
St. Pölten W
- 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting CP W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys W · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-22T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 3-2 (W)
Südburgenland W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Salzburg W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | First Vienna W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Austria Wien W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | St. Pölten W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | LASK W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 7 | SK Rapid W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Südburgenland W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Rheindorf Altach W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.