Sutton Utd vs Wealdstone Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.19 expected goals for Sutton Utd and 0.99 for Wealdstone, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Sutton Utd the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.

Model pick

Sutton Utd to Win

64.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.19 – 0.99

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sutton Utd win65%

Draw19%

Wealdstone win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

2–010.0%
2–19.9%
1–09.1%
1–19.0%
3–07.3%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Sutton Utd to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 19% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.19 goals for Sutton Utd and 0.99 for Wealdstone, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 56%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
Sutton Utd to Win is the headline pick at 65% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Sutton Utd

Wealdstone

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Harrogate Town	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	AFC Hornchurch	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Sutton Utd	2	2	0	0	4	6
4	Southend	2	2	0	0	3	6
5	Hartlepool	2	2	0	0	3	6
6	Forest Green	2	2	0	0	2	6
7	Boreham Wood	2	1	1	0	2	4
8	AFC Fylde	2	1	1	0	1	4
9	Gateshead	2	1	0	1	1	3
10	Boston United	2	1	0	1	1	3
11	Worthing	2	1	0	1	0	3
12	Eastleigh	2	1	0	1	0	3
13	Aldershot Town	2	1	0	1	0	3
14	Kidderminster Harriers	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Yeovil Town	2	0	2	0	0	2
16	Tamworth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Carlisle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Scunthorpe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Wealdstone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	FC Halifax Town	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Altrincham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Barrow	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Solihull Moors	2	0	0	2	-5	0
24	Woking	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.