Paraguay · Division Intermedia · Regular Season - 1613:00
TacuaryWLDDD

11

Saturday, 25 July 2026

Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni · Analysis updated 04:35 UTC

Tacuary vs SOL DE America Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Tacuary and 1.37 for SOL DE America, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives SOL DE America the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

SOL DE America or Draw

71.1% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tacuary win29%
Draw27%
SOL DE America win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–112.1%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 1–28.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Tacuary home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates SOL DE America to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 29% / 27% / 44% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.06 goals for Tacuary and 1.37 for SOL DE America, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Tacuary

  • 2026-08-10T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Guairena FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Resistencia · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SOL DE America · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Capiata · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-13T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Independiente F.b.c. · 2-2 (D)

SOL DE America

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division Intermedia table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    112 de Junio VH1912431240
    2General Caballero1811341436
    3Benjamín Aceval1910541135
    4Deportivo Santani1810351133
    5SOL DE America196112829
    6Independiente F.b.c.19685226
    7Resistencia18675-125
    8Sportivo Carapeguá18747-725
    9Atlético Tembetary18657023
    10Deportivo Capiata18585-123
    11Guairena FC19658-423
    12Fernando De La Mora19658-723
    13Paraguari AC19559-520
    14Tacuary18396-518
    15Encarnación193313-1212
    163 de Noviembre180711-167

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.