· Analysis updated 02:59 UTC
Talent Warszawa U19 vs Arkonia U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Talent Warszawa U19 and 1.48 for Arkonia U19, a combined total of 2.94. That distribution gives Arkonia U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.
Model pick
Arkonia U19 or Draw
62.6% probability
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–07.8%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arkonia U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 37% / 25% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.46 goals for Talent Warszawa U19 and 1.48 for Arkonia U19, a combined 2.94 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Arkonia U19 or Draw is the headline pick at 63% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Talent Warszawa U19
- 2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 1-2 (L)
Arkonia U19
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · Talent Warszawa U19 1-2 Arkonia U19 (Central Youth League)
Central Youth League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Raków Częstochowa U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Wisła Kraków U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Arkonia U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Stal Rzeszów U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Arka Gdynia U19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Górnik Zabrze U19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Śląsk Wrocław U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Polonia Warszawa U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Talent Warszawa U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Miedź Legnica U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Escola Varsovia U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.