Poland · Central Youth League · Regular Season - 710:00

10:00 UTC

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 01:54 UTC

Talent Warszawa U19 vs Raków Częstochowa U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Talent Warszawa U19 and 1.75 for Raków Częstochowa U19, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Raków Częstochowa U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Raków Częstochowa U19 or Draw

67.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Talent Warszawa U19 win32%
Draw23%
Raków Częstochowa U19 win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 2–26.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Raków Częstochowa U19 away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Raków Częstochowa U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 32% / 23% / 45% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.46 goals for Talent Warszawa U19 and 1.75 for Raków Częstochowa U19, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Talent Warszawa U19

  • 2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 1-2 (L)

Raków Częstochowa U19

  • 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Arka Gdynia U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2024-06-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznań U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2024-05-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Odra Opole U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2024-05-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Warta Poznań U19 · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.

Central Youth League table

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Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.