Talent Warszawa U19 vs Raków Częstochowa U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.78 expected goals for Talent Warszawa U19 and 1.90 for Raków Częstochowa U19, a combined total of 4.68. That distribution gives Talent Warszawa U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Talent Warszawa U19 win

56.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.78 – 1.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Raków Częstochowa U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Talent Warszawa U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 18% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.78 goals for Talent Warszawa U19 and 1.90 for Raków Częstochowa U19, a combined 4.68 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 84% and both teams to score at 80%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

Talent Warszawa U19 win56%

Draw18%

Raków Częstochowa U19 win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals84%

Over 3.5 goals68%

Both teams to score80%

Correct score

2–16.8%
2–26.5%
3–16.3%
3–26.0%
1–14.9%

Recent form

Talent Warszawa U19

2026-08-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 1-2 (L)

Raków Częstochowa U19

2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Talent Warszawa U19 · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznań U19 · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Korona Kielce U19 · 5-0 (W)
2026-08-29T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Miedź Legnica U19 · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.

Central Youth League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia Warszawa U19	12	7	4	1	11	25
2	Miedź Legnica U19	12	8	1	3	12	25
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	12	6	3	3	5	21
4	Wisła Kraków U19	12	5	5	2	6	20
5	Górnik Zabrze U19	12	4	6	2	7	18
6	Zagłębie Lubin U19	12	5	3	4	1	18
7	Jagiellonia U19	12	5	3	4	2	18
8	Arkonia U19	12	4	5	3	-1	17
9	Raków Częstochowa U19	12	5	1	6	0	16
10	Lech Poznań U19	12	5	1	6	0	16
11	Talent Warszawa U19	12	5	0	7	-5	15
12	Polonia Warszawa U19	12	4	2	6	2	14
13	Stal Rzeszów U19	12	4	2	6	-7	14
14	Korona Kielce U19	12	2	4	6	-11	10
15	Arka Gdynia U19	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Escola Varsovia U19	12	2	3	7	-12	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Talent Warszawa U19 win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.