Tanzania Prisons vs Dodoma Jiji Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Tanzania Prisons and 1.20 for Dodoma Jiji, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Dodoma Jiji the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Dodoma Jiji or Draw

72.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.90 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tanzania Prisons win28%

Draw30%

Dodoma Jiji win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%

Over 2.5 goals35%

Over 3.5 goals16%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

0–114.7%
1–113.2%
0–012.2%
1–011.0%
0–28.8%

Why the model likes this

Dodoma Jiji away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dodoma Jiji to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 28% / 30% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Tanzania Prisons and 1.20 for Dodoma Jiji, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 42%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Tanzania Prisons

Dodoma Jiji

2026-08-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Pamba Jiji · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Azam · 0-2 (L)
2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mbeya City · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs JKT Tanzania · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Singida Black Stars · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.