Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna · Referee Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina · Analysis updated 06:09 UTC
Tigre vs Huracan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.79 expected goals for Tigre and 0.65 for Huracan, a combined total of 1.44. That distribution gives Tigre the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 38%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 18% for over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 24%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws roughly 65% of the time.
Model pick
Tigre or Draw
73.0% probability
Expected goals
0.79 – 0.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
62%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–023.8%
- 1–018.7%
- 0–115.4%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–07.4%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 35% / 38% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.79 goals for Tigre and 0.65 for Huracan, a combined 1.44 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 18% and both teams to score at 26%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 24%.
Model confidence
Tigre or Draw is the headline pick at 73% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Tigre
Huracan
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.