Tottenham vs Everton Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Tottenham and 1.25 for Everton, a combined total of 2.62. That distribution gives Tottenham the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Tottenham or Draw

66.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tottenham win40%

Draw26%

Everton win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.5%
1–010.0%
0–19.1%
2–18.6%
1–27.8%

Why the model likes this

Tottenham home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tottenham to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 26% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.37 goals for Tottenham and 1.25 for Everton, a combined 2.62 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Tottenham

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Getafe · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T09:45:00.000Z · A vs Chelsea · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-29T09:45:00.000Z · H vs Sydney · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-26T03:00:00.000Z · A vs Auckland · 2-0 (W)

Everton

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.