Lithuania · 1 Lyga · Regular Season - 2016:00

20

Friday, 14 August 2026

AtmosferaLDLWL

· Analysis updated 05:20 UTC

Transinvest 2 vs Atmosfera Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Transinvest 2 and 2.08 for Atmosfera, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Atmosfera the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.

Model pick

Atmosfera to Win

59.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.11 – 2.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Transinvest 2 win20%
Draw21%
Atmosfera win60%

Double chance 1X

40%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

80%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 0–28.9%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 1–36.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Transinvest 2 home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Atmosfera to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 20% / 21% / 60% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.11 goals for Transinvest 2 and 2.08 for Atmosfera, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Transinvest 2

  • 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

Atmosfera

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Minija2017124252
    2Babrungas2016313051
    3Tauras2012261438
    4Neptūną Klaipėda201226338
    5Dainava1910541435
    6Be1 NFA191126735
    7BFA201028032
    8Žalgiris II20947331
    9Atmosfera19748525
    10Jonava20659-223
    11Garliava19649322
    12Transinvest 2205312-2618
    13Hegelmann II205114-2416
    14Kauno Žalgiris II204115-1913
    15Ekranas203215-2311
    16FA Šiauliai II202513-2711

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.