Udinese vs Inter Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Udinese and 2.11 for Inter, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives Inter the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.

Model pick

Inter to Win

61.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.05 – 2.11

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Udinese win18%

Draw20%

Inter win62%

Double chance 1X

38%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–29.9%
0–29.5%
1–19.4%
0–19.0%
1–37.0%

Why the model likes this

Udinese home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Inter to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 18% / 20% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Udinese and 2.11 for Inter, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Udinese

2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Padova · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Barcelona · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Nottingham Forest · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Trabzonspor · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 · 3-3 (D)

Inter

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.