Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Urawa and 3.00 for Yokohama F. Marinos, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Yokohama F. Marinos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Yokohama F. Marinos to Win

58.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 3.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Urawa win25%

Draw17%

Yokohama F. Marinos win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals87%

Over 3.5 goals73%

Both teams to score82%

Correct score

1–26.1%
1–36.1%
2–26.1%
2–36.1%
1–44.5%

Why the model likes this

Urawa home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Yokohama F. Marinos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 25% / 17% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Urawa and 3.00 for Yokohama F. Marinos, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 82%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Recent form

Urawa

2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-07T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Gamba Osaka · 3-4 (L)
2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Omiya Ardija · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-21T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Fujieda MYFC · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Ryukyu · 4-5 (L)

Yokohama F. Marinos

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.