Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie F · Division F - 514:00

14:00 UTC

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 23:46 UTC

Valašské Meziříčí vs Jiskra Rýmařov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Valašské Meziříčí and 1.45 for Jiskra Rýmařov, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Jiskra Rýmařov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Jiskra Rýmařov or Draw

62.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Valašské Meziříčí win37%
Draw25%
Jiskra Rýmařov win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–08.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Jiskra Rýmařov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 37% / 25% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.44 goals for Valašské Meziříčí and 1.45 for Jiskra Rýmařov, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    Jiskra Rýmařov or Draw is the headline pick at 63% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Valašské Meziříčí

    Jiskra Rýmařov

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      4. liga - Divizie F table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Kravare220036
      2Nový Jičín211014
      3Šumperk211014
      4Pustá Polom110033
      5Bospor Bohumín110023
      6Zabreh110023
      7Jiskra Rýmařov210103
      8Hlučín2101-13
      9Bílovec101001
      10Opava II101001
      11Stonava2011-11
      12Valašské Meziříčí2011-21
      13Frydek-Mistek B1001-10
      14Vratimov1001-10
      15Břidličná1001-20
      16Frýdlant2002-40

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.