Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · Division D - 813:30

13:30 UTC

Sunday, 20 September 2026

· Analysis updated 03:53 UTC

Velká Bíteš vs Velké Meziříčí Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.31 expected goals for Velká Bíteš and 1.45 for Velké Meziříčí, a combined total of 2.76. That distribution gives Velké Meziříčí the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Velké Meziříčí or Draw

65.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Velká Bíteš win34%
Draw25%
Velké Meziříčí win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–17.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Velká Bíteš home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Velké Meziříčí to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 34% / 25% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.31 goals for Velká Bíteš and 1.45 for Velké Meziříčí, a combined 2.76 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Velká Bíteš

  • 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)

Velké Meziříčí

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    4. liga - Divizie D table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Tatran Bohunice211044
    2Znojmo211014
    3Kuřim210163
    4Sokol Tasovice110023
    5Žďár nad Sázavou110013
    6Pelhřimov110013
    7FS Třebíč210103
    8Velká Bíteš2101-33
    9Humpolec101001
    10Velké Meziříčí101001
    11Bedrichov101001
    12Ždírec nad Doubravou2011-21
    13Bystrc Kníničky1001-10
    14Sparta Brno1001-10
    15Havlíčkův Brod1001-10
    16Chotebor1001-70

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.