Sportclub Arena · Analysis updated 04:59 UTC
Verl II vs Sprockhovel Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.91 expected goals for Verl II and 1.41 for Sprockhovel, a combined total of 3.31. That distribution gives Verl II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Verl II to Win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–06.9%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
Why the model likes this
Sprockhovel away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Verl II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.91 goals for Verl II and 1.41 for Sprockhovel, a combined 3.31 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Verl II
Sprockhovel
- 2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-15T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Germania Ratingen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SSVg Velbert · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-05-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Verl II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hiltrup · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Westfalen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Rheine | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Preußen Münster II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Maaslingen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Vreden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Verl II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sprockhovel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Ennepetal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Erkenschwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Gievenbeck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | TuS Hordel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Arminia II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Victoria Clarholz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | ASC Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Hiltrup | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lippstadt 08 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.