Marschweg-Stadion · Analysis updated 06:08 UTC
VfB Oldenburg vs Hannover 96 II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.77 expected goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.39 for Hannover 96 II, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives VfB Oldenburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
VfB Oldenburg to Win
46.5% probability
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.39
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.5%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–06.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates VfB Oldenburg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 23% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.77 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.39 for Hannover 96 II, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
VfB Oldenburg to Win is the headline pick at 47% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
VfB Oldenburg
Hannover 96 II
- 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bremer SV · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiedenbrück · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Weiche Flensburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Schöningen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Todesfelde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | HSC Hannover | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Bremer SV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Eimsbütteler TV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | SSV Jeddeloh | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | St. Pauli II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.