Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 122:00
VitoriaLLLDW

20

Wednesday, 28 January 2026

RemoDLWLW

Barradao · Referee R. Abatti · Analysis updated 04:21 UTC

Vitoria vs Remo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Vitoria and 1.25 for Remo, a combined total of 2.69. That distribution gives Vitoria the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Vitoria or Draw

67.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Vitoria win41%
Draw26%
Remo win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 1–27.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Vitoria home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Vitoria to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.44 goals for Vitoria and 1.25 for Remo, a combined 2.69 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Vitoria

  • 2026-08-09T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-06T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Paranaense · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Paranaense · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Palmeiras · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Remo · 0-2 (L)

Remo

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Palmeiras2314632148
    2Flamengo2112632142
    3Atletico Paranaense2312561141
    4Fluminense231085638
    5Cruzeiro22967-133
    6Bahia22895433
    7RB Bragantino22958432
    8Corinthians22886432
    9Botafogo21867230
    10Coritiba22868-230
    11Atletico-MG21858029
    12Sao Paulo21759126
    13Vitoria227510-1126
    14Gremio21678-325
    15Mirassol216510-623
    16Internacional22589-423
    17Santos21579-622
    18Vasco DA Gama21579-822
    19Remo225710-1022
    20Chapecoense-sc211713-2310

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.