Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 815:00

15:00 UTC

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 23:56 UTC

Wiener Viktoria vs Wienerberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.62 expected goals for Wiener Viktoria and 1.18 for Wienerberg, a combined total of 3.80. That distribution gives Wiener Viktoria the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws roughly 32% of the time.

Model pick

Wiener Viktoria to Win

68.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.62 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Wiener Viktoria win68%
Draw17%
Wienerberg win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 2–19.1%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 3–06.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wiener Viktoria to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 17% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.62 goals for Wiener Viktoria and 1.18 for Wienerberg, a combined 3.80 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 64%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

  • Model confidence

    Wiener Viktoria to Win is the headline pick at 68% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Wiener Viktoria

    Wienerberg

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Regionalliga - Ost table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Wiener SC330069
      2Scheiblingkirchen321027
      3Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf320176
      4Oberwart320136
      5Gloggnitz320116
      6Fach-Donaufeld3201-16
      7Parndorf312055
      8Leobendorf312015
      9SV Horn311124
      10Traiskirchen311104
      11Wiener Viktoria310203
      12Favoritner AC3102-23
      13Krems / Rehberg3021-22
      14Donau3012-81
      15Mattersburg SV 20203003-50
      16Wienerberg3003-90

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.