Lavanttal-Arena · Referee Alexander Harkam, Austria · Analysis updated 01:51 UTC
Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Wolfsberger AC and 0.75 for Austria Vienna, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Wolfsberger AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.
Model pick
Wolfsberger AC to Win
67.1% probability
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.7%
- 1–012.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–08.6%
Why the model likes this
Wolfsberger AC home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Vienna away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wolfsberger AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 20% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 0.75 for Austria Vienna, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Wolfsberger AC
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Lustenau · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Red Bull Salzburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lauterach · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-07-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Velden · 4-0 (W)
Austria Vienna
- 2026-08-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Beitar Jerusalem · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lask Linz · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Beitar Jerusalem · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsberger AC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Liepaja · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Rapid Vienna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | SCR Altach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | WSG Wattens | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | TSV Hartberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Austria Vienna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.