KGHM Zagłębie Arena · Referee Mateusz Piszczelok, Poland · Analysis updated 01:57 UTC
Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.12 for Slask Wroclaw, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives Zaglebie Lubin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Zaglebie Lubin to Win
48.8% probability
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.12
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–17.3%
Why the model likes this
Zaglebie Lubin home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zaglebie Lubin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 25% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.61 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.12 for Slask Wroclaw, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Zaglebie Lubin
- 2026-08-15T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Slask Wroclaw · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Legia Warszawa · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-27T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Piast Gliwice · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Chrobry Głogów · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 · 0-2 (L)
Slask Wroclaw
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Widzew Łódź | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Slask Wroclaw | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Kraków | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Cracovia Krakow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.