· Analysis updated 04:59 UTC
Žďár nad Sázavou vs Velká Bíteš Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Žďár nad Sázavou and 1.25 for Velká Bíteš, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Žďár nad Sázavou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.
Model pick
Žďár nad Sázavou to Win
64.6% probability
Expected goals
2.50 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–06.1%
Why the model likes this
Žďár nad Sázavou home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Velká Bíteš away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Žďár nad Sázavou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 18% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Žďár nad Sázavou and 1.25 for Velká Bíteš, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Žďár nad Sázavou
- 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bystrc Kníničky · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ráječko · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuřim · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Znojmo · 1-10 (L)
- 2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Velká Bíteš · 1-3 (L)
Velká Bíteš
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Bohunice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Znojmo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Kuřim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | Sokol Tasovice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Pelhřimov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FS Třebíč | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Velká Bíteš | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Humpolec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Velké Meziříčí | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Bedrichov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Bystrc Kníničky | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Brno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Havlíčkův Brod | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.