Denmark · 1. Division · Regular Season - 712:00

12:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

AalborgLDWW

· Analysis updated 04:32 UTC

AB Copenhagen vs Aalborg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.36 expected goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.13 for Aalborg, a combined total of 2.49. That distribution gives AB Copenhagen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

AB Copenhagen or Draw

69.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

AB Copenhagen win42%
Draw27%
Aalborg win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–08.3%

Why the model likes this

  • AB Copenhagen home form

    8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates AB Copenhagen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 27% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.36 goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.13 for Aalborg, a combined 2.49 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 45% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

AB Copenhagen

  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 3-3 (D)

Aalborg

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Vejle4310410
    2Hvidovre4310410
    3Hobro430129
    4FC Fredericia422068
    5Aarhus Fremad421127
    6Aalborg4211-17
    7Esbjerg4112-14
    8Vendsyssel FF3021-12
    9AB Copenhagen3021-12
    10Kolding IF4022-22
    11Hillerød4013-31
    12HB Koge4004-90

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.