Denmark · 1. Division · Regular Season - 217:00

11

Friday, 31 July 2026

Gladsaxe Stadium · Referee J. Nielsen · Analysis updated 04:40 UTC

AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.52 for FC Fredericia, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives FC Fredericia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

FC Fredericia to Win

48.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.52

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

AB Copenhagen win26%
Draw26%
FC Fredericia win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–111.8%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–29.0%
  • 1–08.1%

Why the model likes this

  • AB Copenhagen home form

    8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Fredericia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 26% / 26% / 48% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.03 goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.52 for FC Fredericia, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

AB Copenhagen

  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 3-3 (D)

FC Fredericia

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Lyngby2212642442
    2Hvidovre2210931139
    3Hillerød221075437
    4Esbjerg221147337
    5Kolding IF22967633
    6AC Horsens22868230
    7Aalborg22778228
    8B 93228410-1028
    9Aarhus Fremad22697527
    10Hobro22679-925
    11HB Koge225512-1520
    12Middelfart222614-2312
    1Lyngby3218683360
    2AC Horsens3215981554
    3Esbjerg3215710252
    4Hillerød3213118-150
    5Hvidovre3211138446
    6Kolding IF3210814-338
    1Aalborg32121010346
    2Aarhus Fremad321111101544
    3Hobro3211912-342
    4HB Koge3211714-640
    5B 933210715-1437
    6Middelfart323623-4515

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.